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Kashmir Dispute Boiling Over: threatening side-effects of the Afghan war

Indian army buildup on the Line of Control in the disputed province of Kashmir in the last 48 hours are some of the most threatening side-effects of the Afghan war, bringing two nuclear powers close to flashpoint.

According to DEBKAfile’s sources on the Indian subcontinent, the Indian army is holding its heavily boosted military force in offensive posture opposite the Pakistani army in Kashmir.

Indian intelligence reports officers of the pro-Taliban Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) is plotting this conflict.

Indian defense minister George Fernandes warned recently that Pakistan’s involvement in the anti-Taliban conflict would not only destabilize its society and army, but rock the country’s foundations dangerously. To fight his way out of this corner, Musharraf may resort to stepping up Pakistan-backed Islamic terrorist attacks in Kashmir, or outright invasion, deliberately triggering war with India to deflect popular disaffection.

DEBKAfile’s Indian military sources report Indian prime minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee as poised on the brink of initiating wide-scale military action against Pakistan, pre-emptively or not, after declaring India to be in a situation of “zero military tolerance”.

Indian military sources told DEBKAfile that these movements lead into a full Indian war alert in Kashmir.

As it is, the daily shelling by Pakistan and India could at any moment ignite the entire front in a flash, drawing a powerful Indian military response irrespective of the state of the Afghanistan war.

Wednesday, November 21, Indian border guards killed a dozen guerrillas crossing from Pakistan into the Pakistan side of Kashmir, at Ramgarh, 40 miles from the state’s winter capital Jammu. According to an Indian spokesman, the men were “Muslim terrorists”.

A few hours later, an Indian Special Operations Group of the local police gunned down two top commanders of the Pakistan-based Al-Badr unit, including its operational chief, Hafiz Ahsan Ali, called “Nayeem” in a raid on the outskirts of Srinagar.

Pakistani “Chenab Rangers” claim success in foiling Indian security attempts to erect an electronic fence along the boundary at three points. This fence was designed for the Indian army by Israeli experts as part of the defense exchanges between the two countries. A senior Israeli defense delegation is due in New Delhi before the end of the month

Indian prime minister - America responsible for Pakistani-Indian war .

Indian prime minister told President George W. Bush in the White House, on November 9, India holds America responsible for rendering an outbreak of Pakistani-Indian war hostilities virtually inevitable by taking Pakistan as its senior partner in the war in Afghanistan, although India was one of the first countries to side with the American anti-terror drive.

In the face of this charge – and since the wheel of war has turned against the Taliban - the United States has become more receptive to New Delhi’s point of view.

”A terrorist is a terrorist,” said US ambassador Robert Blackwill Wednesday in the Indian capital when asked how Washington regarded Pakistani support for militants fighting Indian rule in the state of Jammu and Kashmir. “They are not freedom fighters,” the ambassador stressed. “No country will be permitted to provide sanctuaries to terrorists, “

| Back to Home | Archive |

· Hunt for Osama bin Laden without specific intelligence
· The four journalists ambushed and killed in the Taliban territory
· Afghan Under Russian Military Hands Again
· Flight 587 crash in New York link to Al Qaeda
· Al Qaeda's nuclear bombs smuggled into the United States


DEBKAfile is a multilingual electronic Israeli newsletter that goes behind current events. DEBKA predicted Al Gore’s choice of Joseph Lieberman as his running mate and pinpointed US preparations for a possible Iraqi October Flare-up well in advance. DEBKA were on top of the Camp David Middle East Peace Summit’s failure and instituted a Lockerbie Trial Page.
 
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